The Military Effect of the Middle East Change

It is becoming even more critical as we have moved from Tunisia through Egypt and now in the civil war taking place in the tribalistic environment that is Libya that the actions or otherwise of the military trained forces is crucial in gauging the success or otherwise of the change activities. However, things are not fully quiet in Egypt with some events in Alexandria today but in Libya who has the military hardware and software and the knowledge of using it is why we are in a basic position of stalement, of punch and counter-punch. The non intervention of other nations is to some extent understandable. We are not aware of whether behaviour that best the Balkans crisis is evident here so therefore there is not a human rights precursor to an external impact be it by way of the effective closure of Libyan airspace which would prevent air strikes by the Gadaffi forces that still seem to have the full support of the air force. This therefore limits the ability of what is an effectively lightly armed opposition groups to escalate and possibly create a winning situaton. Then there is also the needs to maintain normal life such as food aid and possibly camp supplies that could be need both in Libya and just over the border with its adjoining countries.

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